Should I stay or Should I go?

by Joe Ashmore on March 19, 2009 · 2 comments

He can already see BL 2 on the Horizon

He can already see BL 2 on the Horizon

The Sit­u­a­tion at the top and who will be Meis­ter and who will get the Inter­na­tional spots is one to watch for sure. At the other end of the table the sit­u­a­tion is just as close but there is lit­tle glory in any­thing other than the 15th Spot and up. So who will go down, who will par­tic­i­pate in the rel­e­ga­tion play­off and who will be safe? The cur­rent Num­bers and the games remain­ing are below, so judge for your­self. And that would add word num­ber 8 to DP’s list of words for Non-German Speak­ers: Absteiger!

12 Ein­tra­cht Frank­furt 25 6 7 11 29:38 –9
13 Han­nover 96 25 6 7 11 33:50 –17
14 Arminia Biele­feld 24 4 12 8 21:33 –12
15 VfL Bochum 22 4 10 10 28:40 –12
16 Borus­sia M’gladbach (N) 22 6 4 14 32:46 –14
17 Energie Cot­tbus 20 5 5 14 21:42 –21
18 Karl­sruher SC 17 5 2 17 18:41 –23

Remain­ing Games per Club:

Frank­furt:
Lev­erkusen (A), Cot­tbus (H), Bay­ern (A), M’gladbach (H), Stuttgart (A), Dort­mund (H), Han­nover (A), Bre­men (H), Bochum (A), Ham­burg (H)

Inter­est­ing mix of games for the Main Diva, key stretch will likely be in the mid­dle with Glad­bach, VfB, Han­nover and Bre­men at home. Of course Frank­furt has a habit of going down to the wire so stay tuned.

Han­nover:
Hof­fen­heim (A), Bre­men (A), Berlin (H), Ham­burg (A), Köln (H), Bochum (A), Frank­furt (H), Karl­sruhe (A), Wolfs­burg (H), Biele­feld (A)

The next four games are against tough teams, and then the sched­ule swings in their favor by play­ing against fel­low strug­glers with the excep­tion of Wolfs­burg. Should be enough to keep them clear with some room to spare.

Biele­feld:
Wolfs­burg (H), Schalke (H), Cot­tbus (A), Bay­ern (H), M’gladbach (A), Stuttgart (H), Lev­erkusen (A), Hof­fen­heim (H), Dort­mund (A), Han­nover (H)

The team from the Alm has only three Six Point games left, but also plays 5 teams in the Hunt for the Cham­pi­onship or Inter­na­tional Spots. Key to avoid­ing the play­off spot may be the last two games but they have to come up with points against Cot­tbus and Glad­bach before that.

Bochum:
M’gladbach (A), Stuttgart (H), Hof­fen­heim (A), Dort­mund (H), Bre­men (A), Han­nover (H), Berlin (A), Ham­burg (A), Frank­furt (H), Köln (A)

The team that always seems to find a way back after going down has some key matches left against their imme­di­ate neigh­bors in the stand­ings but also has to play some tough away games against the likes of Hof­fen­heim, Bre­men, Hertha and HSV.

Glad­bach:
Bochum (H), Karl­sruhe (A), Wolfs­burg (H), Frank­furt (A), Biele­feld (H), Bay­ern (A), Schalke (H), Cot­tbus (A), Lev­erkusen (A), Dort­mund (H)

Cur­rently on a bit of a roll and the only heavy­weights left on the sched­ule are WB and Bay­ern so they should be able to make it out of the drop zone. Play­ing five matches against the other teams at the bot­tom should also help.

Cot­tbus:
Köln (H), Frank­furt (A), Biele­feld (H), Schalke (A), Wolfs­burg (H), Karl­sruhe (A), Bay­ern (H), M’gladbach (H), Stuttgart (A), Lev­erkusen (H)

On paper the remain­ing games with the excep­tion of WB, FCB and Lev­erkusen are not that bad, how­ever the team from the Lausitz has only got­ten 10 points at Home this sea­son so that does not bode well for them.

Karl­sruhe:
Bay­ern (A), M’gladbach (H), Schalke (A), Hof­fen­heim (H), Lev­erkusen (A), Cot­tbus (H), Dort­mund (A), Han­nover (H), Bre­men (A), Berlin (H)

It ain’t over until it’s over, but I think I hear a rather healthy woman warm­ing up right now. With the prob­lems that the KSC has the last thing they want to do is play against some of the title con­tenders, but that is exactly what they have to do.

So who will it be? I think we can say good­bye to KSC and Cot­tbus for sure and the play­off team from the Bun­desliga will be Bielefeld.

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2 comments… read them below or add one

1 Double Pivot March 19, 2009 at 6:07 pm

For me, I think KSC will be joined by Cottbus, whose run in for the final games is horrible, to be the two automatics. I think Hannover will be the third team and they will face Mainz and lose.

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2 diana March 20, 2009 at 5:07 am

Until ‘Gladbach had won their last two matches, I would had been tempted to put them as among the relegation candidates. The wins over Hamburg and Cologne had told me that there is still life yet for Hans Meyer’s side. I certainly did not saw their win over Hamburg coming.

Not sure who will be my candidate for the play-off but, I have to agree with DP and you Joe on KSC and Energie Cottbus as definite candidates for the drop. The play-off candidates are tied between Arminia Bielefeld and Hannover for me.

Or maybe I am biased, given I kind of have a small spot for Eintracht Frankfurt. It has to do with non-footballing reasons. My father had been to Frankfurt twice…though both times he saw Frankfurt was when he was at the airport because it was a stopover destination for him twice on his working travels. :P

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