Bundesliga Matchday 23 by the Numbers

by Mark on March 10, 2009 · 3 comments

3 — Likely num­ber of Ger­man top goalscor­ers over the past 10 years by season’s end. With Ibisevic’s injury cement­ing his tally at 18, it seems likely that Patrick Helmes (17), Mario Gomez or Grafite (14 each) will end up with title of Torschützenkönig. BUT if Grafite were to win, it’d increase the num­ber of Brazil­ians at the top over that same time to 4.

3 (Bonus) — Goals Schalke need until they break even on goal dif­fer­en­tial on the all-time Bun­desliga table. At 9th place they’re cur­rently the high­est ranked team with a neg­a­tive dif­fer­en­tial, 4 spots ahead of Hertha Berlin.

5 — Andriy Voronin’s hat-trick was only the fifth of the sea­son. The oth­ers were Clau­dio Pizarro’s against Frank­furt, Grafite’s against Cot­tbus, Patrick Helmes’ against Han­nover 96, and Demba Ba’s against Stuttgart. (Szabolcs Huszti gets an hon­or­able men­tion for miss­ing a penalty but scor­ing a brace later in the game ver­sus Gladbach.)

5 — Games Hof­fen­heim have now gone win­less. Fur­ther­more, over this stretch they’ve con­ceded 8 goals. That’s as many as in Novem­ber, Decem­ber and Jan­u­ary com­bined (although the lat­ter two were short­ened by the win­ter break).

8 — Sea­sons since the 1991/1992 (the first year of a uni­fied Bun­desliga) that fea­tured a cham­pion that did not also lead the league in goal dif­fer­en­tial. More on the cor­re­la­tion between goal dif­fer­en­tial and table posi­tion in a future post.

10 — Games Wolfs­burg have won at home after their 1–0 vic­tory against Karl­sruhe. Across all com­pe­ti­tions this sea­son that num­ber increases to 13. In fact, their only defeat was a 2–5 set­back to Bre­men dur­ing a mid-week DFB Pokal match ear­lier this month.

12 — Games (only one of which ended nil-nil) that Karl­sruhe have failed to score in which, unsur­pris­ingly, tops all teams. You might not be sur­prised to learn that they are also the only club not to have won a game by 2 or more goals.

14 — Goals scored (out of 22) by ‘for­eign­ers’ (includ­ing German-born play­ers who rep­re­sent other coun­tries, e.g. Hamit Alt­in­top). This isn’t some­thing I pay par­tic­u­lar atten­tion to, con­sid­er­ing the Bun­desliga is an inter­na­tional league. Nev­erth­less, 64%? Is that the norm?

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3 comments… read them below or add one

1 darkman March 10, 2009 at 7:50 am

I counted 8 goals out of 22 scored by germans. Dabrowski, Helmes, Levels, Marin, Klose, Podolski, Jones and Gomez each scored one goal. These 36% seem to be the norm. Since the winter break the german players never scored more than 10 times on a single match day.

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2 Mark March 10, 2009 at 11:55 am

You are definitely right. In the early morning haze I conflated 14 and 8 to make 18, which in turn makes no sense. I’ve corrected the post. I also looked into the claim about German players not scoring more than 10 on a matchday since the Winter Break. Assuming you’re not being strictly literal (i.e., only on Saturdays and not the entire weekend) I came up with these numbers:

18th Matchday/1st After Winter Break – 5/20 (25%) scored by ‘Germans’
19th/2nd – 13/30 (43%)
20th/3rd – 10/25 (40%)
21st/4th – 11/28 (39%)
22nd/5th – 4/20 (20%)
23rd/6th – 8/22 (36%)

That involved quite a bit of counting and I may have missed something (or mistyped) so feel free to add a correction. It seems, however, that there is a fairly narrow band. So, I agree with you, 36% does seem to be the norm.

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3 darkman March 12, 2009 at 9:32 am

Okay, that claim with 10 goals isn’t correct. I overlooked Freis at the 19th matchday who scored two times. I count 12/30 for the 19th matchday now.
The 21st matchday was even worse. Jansen (2), Gomez (2), Pinto (I didn’t know he has a german passport), Schulz, Brosinski (I overlooked him too), Helmes, Baumjohann, Marin, Neuville, Kuranyi and Cacau (got his german passport just recently). That’s 13 german goals and with 46% the highest fraction after the winter brake.

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